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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 41.2%
Draw 25.7%
Manchester City U21 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
24.9%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
24.7%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.
Manchester City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City U21 than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Grimsby Town - Manchester City U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Man City U21 will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 2. Cass L. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannett C. 3. Carson M. 30. Khouri E. 11. Svanthorsson J. 16. Ainley C. 8. Luker J. 22. Gardner C. 25. Wilson D.
72. Whatmuff O. (G) 15. Samuel L. 54. Naylor S. 68. Alleyne M. 91. Mfuni S. 81. Heskey J. 57. Okeke M. 65. Dickson W. 51. Gray C. 99. Lawrence E. 77. Oboavwoduo J.
Substitutes
41. Auton S. (G) 4. Green K. 33. Hume D. 20. McEachran G. 5. Rodgers H. 32. Rose D. 21. Warren T.
61. Braithwaite K. 83. Heskey R. 69. Hudson M. (G) 49. McAidoo R. 63. Mukasa D. 98. Warhurst M.
Coaches
Artell D.
Wilkinson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Carson M. 🟨,
45', Oboavwoduo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Khouri E. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
46', McJannett C. ↓, Rodgers H. ↑,
53', Ainley C. ↓, Green K. ↑,
62', Naylor S. ↓, Braithwaite K. ↑,
67', Mfuni S. 🟨,
71', Luker J. ↓, Hume D. ↑,
77', Oboavwoduo J. ↓, McAidoo R. ↑,
77', Lawrence E. ↓, Heskey R. ↑,
79', Wilson D. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
87', Okeke M. ↓, Mukasa D. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Heskey R. ⚽, Mukasa D. (A),
90+1', 1 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Mukasa D. (Pen),
1, Cass L. (Pen),
2, Gray C. (Pen),
2, Carson M. (Pen),
3, Dickson W. (Pen),
3, Green K. (Pen),
4, Heskey R. (Pen),
4, Hume D. (Pen),
5, Whatmuff O. (Pen),
5, Rose D. (Pen),
6, Heskey J. (Pen),
6, Gardner C. (Pen),
Preview
Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Man City U21 is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Man City U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
United-kingdom
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Wright J. (G) 
Svanthorsson J. 
Okeke M. 
Lawrence E. 
Hudson M. (G) 
Artell D. 
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