Match Info

League Two - Round 33

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Grimsby Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.82	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.82	3.29	5.07
	1.83	3.28	4.6	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.5
	1.81	3.26	4.77	Watch
	1.84	3.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.04)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	4.57 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
50.9%

Draw
28.7%

Walsall
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.8%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	8.3%	12.5%

Grimsby Town - Walsall Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Grimsby (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Grimsby Town will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grimsby Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 40. Sellars-Fleming T. 39. Cook A.	1. Roberts M. (G) 6. Farquharson P. 4. Flint A. (C) 35. Lopata K. 17. Clarke C. 14. Comley B. 8. Lakin C. 25. Okeke J. 23. Pattison A. 22. Jellis J. 19. Pressley A.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 41. Auton S. (G) 9. Kabia J. 8. Khouri E. 20. McEachran G. 30. Vernam C. 21. Warren T.	37. Adomah A. 5. Burke H. 20. Chang A. 18. Harper V. 12. Hornby S. (G) 11. Loupalo-Bi A. 31. Richards R.
Coaches
Artell D.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Lopata K. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Farquharson P. ⚽, Clarke C. (A),
45+1', Roberts M. 🟥,
45+3', Lakin C. ↓, Hornby S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
60', Sellars-Fleming T. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
60', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
66', Cook A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Walker J. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Pressley A. ⚽, Clarke C. (A),
75', Lopata K. ↓, Burke H. ↑,
75', Okeke J. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
80', Burns D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
86', Hornby S. 🟨,
90', Walker J. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 2.

Grimsby has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Walsall is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Walsall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Injury)

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Lopata K. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Lavelle S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J. (Inactive) Roofe K. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Grimsby: 4.36% Walsall: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 3.53 are the expected chance of winning is 26.29%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League Two
11.02.26	Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Newport County - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTW
- Walsall FC
English League Two
07.02.26	Walsall - Barnet	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:2 ✺
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Walsall - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.25	Walsall - Grimsby Town	0:1
08.03.25	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:3
19.10.24	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:4
01.01.24	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:6
26.08.23	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:1
25.03.23	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:1
27.08.22	Walsall - Grimsby Town	1:2

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