Match Info

League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	15:15	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	04:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:15	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:15	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5
Brazil	15:15	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:15	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:15	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:15	Disney+
Colombia	13:15	Disney+
Croatia	20:15	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	20:15	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	20:15	Viaplay
Finland	21:15	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Germany	20:15	Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	21:15	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	18:15	Viaplay
India	23:45	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	21:15	Sport 4
Japan	03:15	DAZN Japan
Kenya	21:15	Gotv
Kosovo	20:15	Arena Premium 2
Malaysia	02:15	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:15	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	12:15	Disney+
Netherlands	20:15	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:15	beIN Connect
Nigeria	19:15	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:15	Viaplay
Peru	13:15	Disney+
Serbia	20:15	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	02:15	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	20:15	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South Africa	20:15	SupeSport ESPN 2
Sweden	20:15	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	20:15	Sky Sport Mix
Turkey	21:15	Exxen
United Kingdom	19:15	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	15:15	Disney+
Usa	14:15	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	14:15	Disney+


	Salford City		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.37	3.25
	2.29	3.28	3.06	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.23	3.28	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
41.8%

Draw
28.5%

Grimsby Town
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Grimsby Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Salford City - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 26. Graydon R. 18. Butcher M. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 21. Cesay K. 23. Udoh D.	31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
16. Borini F. 24. Dorrington A. 14. Harris K. 33. Howard M. (G) 9. Stockton C. 6. Turton O. 7. Woodburn B.	14. Amaluzor J. 9. Kabia J. 20. McEachran G. 29. Oduor C. 1. Pym C. (G) 24. Tharme D. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Udoh D. ⚽, Oluwo A. (A),
61', Turi G. D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
62', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
70', Vernam C. 🟨,
72', Walker J. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
76', N'Mai K. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
88', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Graydon R. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
92', Green K. 🟨,
106', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
110', Green K. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
116', Butcher M. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
117', 2 - 2, Cesay K. ⚽,
120', Udoh D. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
120', Kacurri M. ↓, Tharme D. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Salford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salford: Awe Z. (Inactive) Bird J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Lavelle S. (Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Grant J. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Khouri E. (Inactive) McEachran G. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Salford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	13	9	1	3	23:14	9	28
12	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	19:16	3	17

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 9.82% Grimsby: 6.71%

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Salford City - Bromley	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Salford City - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Grimsby Town - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Cambridge United - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2
03.03.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	3:1
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2
15.03.25	Grimsby Town - Salford City	0:1
12.10.24	Salford City - Grimsby Town	1:2
29.12.23	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:3
15.08.23	Grimsby Town - Salford City	2:0

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