Match Info

League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

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	Salford City		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.37	3.25
	2.29	3.28	3.06	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.23	3.28	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
41.8%

Draw
28.5%

Grimsby Town
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.4%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Grimsby Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Salford City - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young M. (G) 19. Mnoga H. 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 26. Graydon R. 18. Butcher M. 17. Austerfield J. 10. N'Mai K. 21. Cesay K. 23. Udoh D.	31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 15. Turi G. D. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
16. Borini F. 24. Dorrington A. 14. Harris K. 33. Howard M. (G) 9. Stockton C. 6. Turton O. 7. Woodburn B.	14. Amaluzor J. 9. Kabia J. 20. McEachran G. 29. Oduor C. 1. Pym C. (G) 24. Tharme D. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Robinson K.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Udoh D. ⚽, Oluwo A. (A),
61', Turi G. D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
62', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
70', Vernam C. 🟨,
72', Walker J. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Green K. ⚽, Staunton R. (A),
76', N'Mai K. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
88', Austerfield J. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Graydon R. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
92', Green K. 🟨,
106', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
110', Green K. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
116', Butcher M. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
117', 2 - 2, Cesay K. ⚽,
120', Udoh D. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
120', Kacurri M. ↓, Tharme D. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Salford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Salford: Awe Z. (Inactive) Bird J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Edwards T. (Inactive) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Lavelle S. (Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Inactive) Tharme D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Grant J. (Inactive) Harris K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Khouri E. (Inactive) McEachran G. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Salford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Salford: 19.35% Grimsby: 4.36%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Salford	10	6	1	3	15:10	5	19
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Salford City - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.79%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Crawley Town - Salford City	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Salford City - Bromley	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Salford City - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWT
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Grimsby Town - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
21.04.26	Cambridge United - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gillingham - Grimsby Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.05.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	1:2
03.03.26	Grimsby Town - Salford City	3:1
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2
15.03.25	Grimsby Town - Salford City	0:1
12.10.24	Salford City - Grimsby Town	1:2
29.12.23	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:3
15.08.23	Grimsby Town - Salford City	2:0

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