The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 28.8%
Draw 25.9%
Grimsby Town 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
26.8%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
26.2%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
0%
54.5%
Tranmere Rovers - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marosi M. (G) 15. Tamen W. 5. Smith N. 28. Negru S. 14. Joseph J. 8. Finley S. (C) 42. Kenneh N. 23. Bristow E. 44. Watson R. 7. Whitaker C. 41. Woolery K.
31. Smith J. (G) 21. Warren T. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 39. Cook A.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J. 30. McGowan A. 2. Norman C. 26. Plant J.
23. Brown H. 18. Burns D. 9. Kabia J. 29. Oduor C. 1. Pym C. (G) 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 16. Staunton R.
Coaches
Wild P.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Amaluzor J. ⚽, Green K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Woolery K. ↓, Ironside J. ↑,
53', Kenneh N. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Smith N. ⚽, Whitaker C. (A),
65', Cook A. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
65', Green K. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
77', Turi G. D. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
84', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
84', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
90+2', Walker J. 🟨,
90+5', Finley S. ↓, Plant J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2.
Tranmere has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Grimsby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Grimsby could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
Jones D.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Khouri E.
(Inactive)
Lavelle S.
(Injury)
Svanthorsson J.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: McEachran G.
(Inactive)
Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Grimsby
10
3
4
3
13:11
2
13
13
Tranmere
10
2
6
2
13:13
0
12
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.74%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.