Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Grosseto		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.55	2.87	Watch
	2.7	2.6	2.8
	2.6	2.55	2.9
	2.57	2.78	3.03
	2.55	2.6	3
	2.6	2.71	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.71)	2.63 ↓ (2.94)	2.94 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
34.7%

Draw
34.5%

Pontedera
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grosseto - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 0.

Grosseto is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pontedera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Grosseto have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Grosseto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Vis Pesaro - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Grosseto - Imolese	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Teramo - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Ancona - Grosseto	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Reggiana - Grosseto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Pontedera - Fermana	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Pontedera - Cesena	2:0 ✺
23.02.22	Pistoiese - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Lucchese - Pontedera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.11.21	Pontedera - Grosseto	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.21	Grosseto - Pontedera	3:1
01.11.20	Pontedera - Grosseto	0:0
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.15	Grosseto - Pontedera	1:0
16.11.14	Pontedera - Grosseto	2:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
05.01.14	Grosseto - Pontedera	2:2
01.09.13	Pontedera - Grosseto	5:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Vado - Grosseto	✺

Grosseto - Pontedera