Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Lucchese		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.3	2.9	3.35
	2.31	2.93	3.69
	2.37	2.68	3.7	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.25
	2.27	2.58	3.69	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)	2.81 ↓ (3.3)	3.45 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
40.4%

Draw
32.8%

Pontedera
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Lucchese - Pontedera Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pontedera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coletta J. (C) 29. Antoni E. 31. Catanese G. 13. Fazzi N. 6. Gasbarro A. 30. Gemignani A. 9. Magnaghi S. 14. Quirini E. 33. Sabbione A. 70. Saporiti E. 8. Tumbarello G.	12. Tantalocchi E. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 19. Espeche M. 18. Guidi M. 11. Ianesi S. 9. Italeng J. 27. Ladinetti R. 5. Martinelli R. 21. Perretta G. 25. Pietra N. 16. Sala M.
Substitutes
12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 90. Costantino R. 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 5. Frison F. 27. Gucher R. 71. Moschella M. 17. Mozzillo M. 11. Ndiaye B. 22. Palmisani L. (G) 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.	7. Ambrosini M. 26. Benucci L. 1. Calvani S. (G) 14. Corona G. 24. Coviello A. 2. Gagliardi L. 31. Innocenti M. 3. Maggini F. 28. Maiello F. 6. Pretato M. 37. Vanzini M. (G) 30. Vivoli N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
23', Fazzi N. 🟨,
38', Guidi M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Italeng J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guidi M. ↓, Pretato M. ↑,
58', Martinelli R. 🟨,
65', Martinelli R. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Saporiti E. ⚽,
73', Quirini E. 🟨,
74', Antoni E. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
74', Cerretti C. ↓, Ambrosini M. ↑,
74', Sala M. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
79', Gagliardi L. 🟨,
80', Espeche M. 🟨,
85', Magnaghi S. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
85', Saporiti E. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
89', Sabbione A. 🟨,
90+7', Quirini E. ↓, Gucher R. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Lucchese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:27 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Pontedera - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
17.11.24	Ternana - Lucchese	5:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lucchese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Campobasso - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
30.10.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
16.11.24	Pontedera - Pianese	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Ascoli - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Pontedera - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
30.10.24	Pescara - Pontedera	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pontedera - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.03.24	Pontedera - Lucchese	2:2
29.10.23	Lucchese - Pontedera	1:2
15.01.23	Pontedera - Lucchese	0:0
14.09.22	Lucchese - Pontedera	1:1
20.02.22	Lucchese - Pontedera	1:2
16.10.21	Pontedera - Lucchese	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.21	Lucchese - Pontedera	2:1

Lucchese - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide