Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pontedera		Fermana

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.47	4	6.5
	1.55	3.85	6.41
	1.56	3.78	6.41
	1.4	4	7
	1.47	3.84	6.59
	1.48	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)	3.87 ↓ (4.32)	6.41 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
61.9%

Draw
23.8%

Fermana
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

21%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

17.8%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontedera's form might have worsened.

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Pontedera - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ciocci G. (G) 4. Calvani G. 5. Martinelli R. 19. Espeche M. 21. Perretta G. 16. Ignacchiti L. 27. Provenzano A. 7. Ambrosini M. 20. Delpupo I. 11. Ianesi S. 26. Selleri G.	22. Furlanetto A. (G) 2. Eleuteri A. 6. Fort F. 5. Spedalieri J. 3. Pistolesi F. 24. Gianelli J. 16. Fontana T. 26. Misuraca G. 10. Pinzi R. 70. Semprini M. 7. Tilli R.
Substitutes
23. Cerretti C. 9. Fossati D. 2. Gagliardi L. 18. Guidi M. 1. Lewis L. (G) 8. Marrone F. 6. Pretato M. 29. Salvadori A. 30. Vivoli N. (G)	13. Bonfigli L. 1. Borghetto N. (G) 9. Curatolo D. 21. Grassi L. 34. Locanto G. 12. Mancini A. (G) 19. Marcandella D. 69. Montini M. 18. Vessella M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Pontedera is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
22.12.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Olbia - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.12.23	Pontedera - Padova	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
06.01.24	Fermana - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Pescara - Fermana	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Fermana - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Lucchese - Fermana	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Fermana - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.09.23	Fermana - Pontedera	1:0
15.04.23	Fermana - Pontedera	0:4
10.12.22	Pontedera - Fermana	2:1
12.03.22	Pontedera - Fermana	1:2
31.10.21	Fermana - Pontedera	1:0

Pontedera - Fermana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide