Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 26

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.6	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.68	3.38	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.91
	3.48	3.38	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.48)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	1.92 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
25.8%

Draw
27%

Kamatamare Sanuki
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grulla Morioka's form might have worsened.

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamatamare Sanuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamatamare Sanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 24. Yamauchi S. 4. Fukagawa D. 5. Sako M. 17. Niizato R. 45. Mizuno H. 14. Matsubara K. 39. Kawabe S. 41. Domoto H. 7. Fukahori S. 10. Otabor K.	1. Imamura Y. (G) 47. Nishino S. 16. Okuda Y. 24. Fukaminato S. 66. Uchida M. 14. Yoshida J. 6. Hasegawa H. 11. Yoshida G. 60. Morikawa Y. 23. Iwagishi S. 19. Akahoshi K.
Substitutes
51. Fukatsu K. 21. Inaba A. (G) 15. Kagami T. 18. Miyaichi T. 29. Mizuno K. 20. Shimogami S. 9. Tokura K.	7. Eguchi N. 15. Iwamoto K. 10. Kawanishi S. 32. Matsubara K. (G) 8. Mori Y. 3. Munechika K. 30. Niwa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Morikawa Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Fukaminato S. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Fukahori S. ⚽,
67', Fukahori S. ↓, Kagami T. ↑,
67', Matsubara K. ↓, Shimogami S. ↑,
68', Iwagishi S. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
68', Yoshida J. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
74', Mizuno H. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
76', Fukaminato S. ↓, Munechika K. ↑,
84', Akahoshi K. ↓, Niwa S. ↑,
84', Hasegawa H. ↓, Eguchi N. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Niwa S. ⚽,
89', Domoto H. ↓, Mizuno K. ↑,
89', Otabor K. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
24.08.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Grulla Morioka - Azul Claro Numazu	0:3 ✺
27.07.24	Imabari - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
17.08.24	YSCC - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:3 ✺
21.07.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
07.07.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
25.02.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	1:1
02.12.23	Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0
11.06.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	1:0
20.11.21	Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:1
30.05.21	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	1:1
07.10.20	Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
19.09.20	Kamatamare Sanuki - Grulla Morioka	0:0

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