Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 23

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4	6	Watch
	1.47	4.32	6.55
	1.46	4.22	5.98	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.43	4.15	6.41	Watch
	1.48	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)	4.08 ↓ (4.5)	6.03 ↓ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
62.6%

Draw
22.3%

Grulla Morioka
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

20.4%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

18.9%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imabari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Imabari - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Imabari: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Serantes J. (G) 4. Ichihara R. 3. Fukumori N. 2. Kato T. 6. Moschion T. 14. Yuba K. 77. Kato J. 18. Arai H. 9. Kondo T. 10. Indio 36. Yokoyama Y.	1. Okubo T. (G) 22. Nishi D. 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 6. Takahashi S. 4. Fukagawa D. 17. Niizato R. 30. Adachi S. 15. Kagami T. 9. Tokura K. 10. Otabor K.
Substitutes
50. Mikado Y. 11. Sakano T. 20. Sato R. 1. Shugyo T. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 17. Tanque W. 7. Yamada T.	7. Fukahori S. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 14. Matsubara K. 18. Miyaichi T. 5. Sako M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kato T. ⚽, Yuba K. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Yokoyama Y. ⚽, Kato J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tokura K. ↓, Fukahori S. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Otabor K. ⚽,
58', Kagami T. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
58', Nishi D. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
60', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Tanque W. ↑,
65', Moschion T. 🟨,
74', Fukatsu K. ↓, Sako M. ↑,
74', Yuba K. ↓, Takeuchi Y. ↑,
74', Moschion T. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
79', Adachi S. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
86', Miyaichi T. 🟨,
87', Kato J. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,
90+2', Mikado Y. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Imabari won 0.

Imabari in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grulla Morioka has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Imabari is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Imabari to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Imabari won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Imabari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J3 League
20.07.24	Nagano Parceiro - Imabari	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Imabari - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Fukushima United - Imabari	2:3 ✺
30.06.24	Imabari - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
21.07.24	Grulla Morioka - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Nagano Parceiro - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Grulla Morioka - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
22.06.24	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	0:0
29.10.23	Imabari - Grulla Morioka	0:1
03.06.23	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	2:1
26.09.21	Imabari - Grulla Morioka	0:1
03.04.21	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	3:2
08.12.20	Imabari - Grulla Morioka	2:0
29.08.20	Grulla Morioka - Imabari	0:1

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