Match Info

J3 League - Round 28

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.48	3.3	2.79
	2.55	3.21	2.69	Watch
	2.49	3.32	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	2.69 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
36.9%

Draw
28.7%

Sagamihara
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sagamihara (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 2. Uchida M. 44. Hayashida K. 99. Tsukegi Y. 33. Kawakami S. 7. Eguchi N. 15. Iwamoto K. 24. Ueno A. 40. Nishimaru M. 17. Makiyama K. 22. Ono Y.	46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 20. Yamauchi R. 54. Watahiki K. 97. Fujinuma T. 6. Tokunaga Y. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Kawano R. 8. Osako R. 22. Fukui K. 11. Muto Y.
Substitutes
11. Eduardo 1. Imamura Y. (G) 23. Iwagishi S. 10. Kawanishi S. 5. Komatsu T. 13. Maekawa T. 88. Matsumoto K. 21. Noh S. 35. Sago S.	31. Inose K. (G) 23. Kato T. 26. Nishikubo S. 27. Nishiyama T. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 16. Takano R. 25. Tanaka R. 5. Tashiro M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Nakayama R. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Kawakami S. ⚽, Eguchi N. (A),
27', Kato D. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Eguchi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujinuma T. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
46', Kawano R. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
58', Osako R. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
66', Eguchi N. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
66', Ono Y. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
67', Muto Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
71', Makiyama K. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
81', Nakayama R. ↓, Tanaka R. ↑,
87', Hayashida K. ↓, Komatsu T. ↑,
90+4', Kato T. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Sagamihara has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
13.09.25	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gifu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTT
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
13.09.25	Sagamihara - Gifu	0:5 ✺
06.09.25	Sagamihara - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Osaka - Sagamihara	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.08.25	Sagamihara - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
21.07.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	0:0
30.03.24	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1
05.08.23	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0
19.03.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	1:0
23.10.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Sagamihara	2:2
18.06.22	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1

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