Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 21

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Omiya Ardija		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.53	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.38	5
	1.54	4.15	5.04	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.5	3.92	5.73	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	3.97 ↓ (4.15)	5.31 ↓ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
60%

Draw
22.9%

Kamatamare Sanuki
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

20.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omiya Ardija's form might have worsened.

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamatamare Sanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Omiya Ardija will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 22. Motegi R. 7. Kojima M. 14. Izumi T. 30. Arthur Silva 6. Ishikawa T. 42. Fujii K. 23. Sugimoto K.	1. Imamura Y. (G) 6. Hasegawa H. 3. Munechika K. 24. Fukaminato S. 66. Uchida M. 14. Yoshida J. 7. Eguchi N. 60. Morikawa Y. 13. Maekawa T. 11. Yoshida G. 19. Akahoshi K.
Substitutes
39. Izumisawa J. 17. Nakano K. 49. Osawa T. 35. Shimizu Y. 20. Shimoguchi W. 40. Shimura K. (G) 28. Tomiyama T.	23. Iwagishi S. 8. Mori Y. 30. Niwa S. 16. Okuda Y. 35. Sago S. 4. Takemura S. 2. Usui K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Motegi R. 🟨,
45+2', Ichihara R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Motegi R. ↓, Shimoguchi W. ↑,
48', Yoshida G. 🟨,
56', Akahoshi K. ↓, Niwa S. ↑,
76', Fujii K. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
76', Maekawa T. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Shimoguchi W. (A),
88', Sugimoto K. ↓, Tomiyama T. ↑,
90', Morikawa Y. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
90+1', Ishikawa T. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
90+1', Ichihara R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
06.07.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Omiya Ardija	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWTL
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
07.07.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Imabari - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3 ✺
16.06.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija	0:2
Japan J2 League
23.09.18	Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija	0:2
02.06.18	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2
07.11.15	Kamatamare Sanuki - Omiya Ardija	1:1
06.06.15	Omiya Ardija - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0

Upcoming Matches