Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 9

Date: 10 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)


	Grulla Morioka		Nara Club

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.25
	2.95	3	2.35	Watch
	3.13	3.09	2.37
	3.13	3.09	2.37
	3	3	2.15
	3.12	3.06	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
30%

Draw
30.2%

Nara Club
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Grulla Morioka - Nara Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grulla Morioka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okubo T. (G) 25. Yamato Y. 51. Fukatsu K. 3. Saito R. 6. Takahashi S. 22. Nishi D. 17. Niizato R. 13. Kogure D. 15. Kagami T. 77. Komatsu K. 10. Otabor K.	96. Vito M. (G) 22. Ikoma K. 23. Kotani Y. (C) 5. Suzuki D. 49. Shimokawa Y. 8. Horiuchi H. 25. Kamigaki R. 10. Yamamoto S. 39. Yomesaka S. 17. Hyakuda M. 31. Yuki O.
Substitutes
30. Adachi S. 4. Fukagawa D. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 14. Matsubara K. 29. Mizuno K. 9. Tokura K.	4. Ise W. 20. Kunitake Y. 14. Nakashima K. 11. Nishida M. 6. Terashima H. 19. Udom K. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Kamigaki R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Fukatsu K. ⚽, Niizato R. (A),
57', Yamamoto S. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
57', Kamigaki R. ↓, Nakashima K. ↑,
64', Takahashi S. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
64', Komatsu K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Hyakuda M. ⚽, Horiuchi H. (A),
71', Ikoma K. ↓, Yoshimura Y. ↑,
71', Nakashima K. 🟨,
78', Nishi D. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Kiri S. ⚽, Kagami T. (A),
85', Tokura K. 🟨,
89', Kagami T. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 14).

Grulla Morioka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nara Club is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nara Club will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
31.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
06.04.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:3 ✺
24.03.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Nara Club - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.07.23	Grulla Morioka - Nara Club	1:1
16.04.23	Nara Club - Grulla Morioka	1:0

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