Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Grulla Morioka		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.06	3.45	3.46
	2.06	3.45	3.46
	1.91	3.25	3.4
	1.96	3.2	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.82)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)	3.44 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
45.8%

Draw
27.7%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 20).

The competitors look crappy now.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grulla Morioka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grulla Morioka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grulla Morioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Grulla Morioka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
23.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
23.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0
28.05.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Grulla Morioka	1:0
19.09.21	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1
13.03.21	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Grulla Morioka	0:1

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