Match Info

Copa Norte - Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu) (Belem)


	Paysandu		Nacional AM

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.39	4.1	6.4
	1.60	3.30	6.30	Watch
	1.34	4.2	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	3.87 ↓ (4.1)	7.07 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
63.4%

Draw
23.7%

Nacional AM
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

21.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Paysandu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Paysandu - Nacional AM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Nacional AM has had a series of home games.

In this match, Paysandu is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.26	Caxias - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
09.05.26	Paysandu - Anápolis	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
06.05.26	Águia de Marabá - Paysandu	1:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTWWW
- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Nacional AM - Manauara	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	São Raimundo PR - Nacional AM	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
06.05.26	Nacional AM - Porto Velho	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Nacional AM - São Raimundo PR	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Nacional AM - Guaporé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Norte
09.04.26	Nacional AM - Paysandu	7:0
Brazilian Copa Verde
20.08.19	Paysandu - Nacional AM	0:0
07.08.19	Nacional AM - Paysandu	0:1
22.03.15	Nacional AM - Paysandu	1:1
07.03.15	Paysandu - Nacional AM	4:1

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