Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 14

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.72	2.52
	2.89	2.54	2.74
	3.12	2.63	2.55	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.6
	2.62	3.08	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.44)	2.72 ↓ (3.09)	2.62 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
31.9%

Draw
33.4%

São Caetano
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense's form might have worsened.

São Caetano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Grêmio Desportivo São Carlense - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, ⚽,
86', 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent form of São-Carlense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São Caetano is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, São-Carlense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Penapolense	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Taquaritinga - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Barretos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
21.03.26	São Caetano - Barretos	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Tanabi - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	São Caetano - Lemense FC	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Taquaritinga - São Caetano	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	São Caetano - Comercial SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
01.03.25	São Caetano - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	2:1

Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide