Match Info
Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 1Date: 25 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)
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|
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|
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Grêmio Novorizontino |
|
América Mineiro |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.97 |
3.06 |
3.86 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.9 |
3.09 |
4.32 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.06 |
4.11 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.05 ↓
(3.06) |
4.01 ↓
(4.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grêmio Novorizontino
47.7% | Draw
29.7% | América Mineiro
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
31.  Cesar Augusto (G)
35.  Bianchi H.
9. Carlao (C)
3. Carlinhos
27. Diego Mathias
26. Gabriel Bahia
50. Juninho
24.  Lora J.
17. Matheus Bianqui
30. Nicolas Careca
4. Patrick
| 19. William (G)
16. Ale (C)
36. Dalbert
5.  Elizari F.
23. Everton Brito
12. Samuel
77.  Segovia M.
44. Thallyson
97. Val Soares
43. Wesley
33. Yago Santos
|
| Substitutes |
32. Antony
20.  Castrillon N.
37. Esquerda
40. Jardiel
21. Kauan Alemao
23. Kaue Almeida dos Santos J.
38. LG
1. Lucas Pereira (G)
34. Nogueira
33. Renato Palm
7. Ronald Barcellos
36. Tavares Miguel
| 37. Cesar J.
62. Da Silva G.
80. Geovane P.
52. Italo Brito (G)
88. Jhonatan Lima
28. Pedro K.
67. Yarlen
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Bianchi H. 🟨,
- 56', Bianchi H. ↓, Ronald Barcellos ↑,
- 59', Val Soares ↓, Yarlen ↑,
- 66', Samuel 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Segovia M. ⚽,
- 69', Everton Brito ↓, Da Silva G. ↑,
- 70', Carlao ↓, Jardiel ↑,
- 70', Lora J. ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 70', Nicolas Careca ↓, Tavares Miguel ↑,
- 80', Elizari F. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
- 80', Ale ↓, Pedro K. ↑,
- 80', Yago Santos ↓, Jhonatan Lima ↑,
- 86', William 🟨,
- 89', Wesley 🟨,
- 89', Gabriel Bahia 🟥,
Preview
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.América MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Novorizontino is seen as the favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.08%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
América Mineiro - the odds 4.11 are the expected chance of winning is 21.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 03.11.25 | América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino | 2:2 | | 12.07.25 | Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro | 3:1 | | 16.08.24 | Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro | 1:1 | | 27.04.24 | América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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