Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.65	3.3	4.85
	1.68	3.25	4.8
	1.69	3.41	5.86
	1.67	3.1	5.25
	1.7	3.52	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	3.31 ↓ (3.52)	5.03 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
54.3%

Draw
27.6%

Figueirense
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

16.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Figueirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio Novorizontino - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Figueirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.05.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
17.05.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	4:0 ✺
09.05.21	Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
06.05.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	2:2 ✺
02.05.21	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLTL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
12.05.21	Chapecoense - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Figueirense - Chapecoense	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Próspera Criciúma - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Figueirense - Joinville	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
06.02.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Figueirense	1:2

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