Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 22 October 2025, WednesdayLocation: Arena Condá (Chapecó)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Chapecoense |
|
Figueirense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.3 |
1.75 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
|
 |
5.63 |
3.34 |
1.61 |
|
 |
3.66 |
3.33 |
1.93 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.26 ↑
(3.65) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
1.77 ↓
(1.99) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chapecoense
21.3% | Draw
27.5% | Figueirense
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)Chapecoense - Figueirense Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Marlyson ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Rubens Ricoldi ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 1, Rubens Ricoldi ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.Chapecoense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Figueirense is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Figueirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Figueirense - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.15%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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