Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.1	6.25
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.18	7.85
	1.4	4.33	7.5
	1.43	4.4	7.4	Watch
	1.42	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)	4.27 ↑ (3.98)	7.08 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
64.9%

Draw
21.9%

Tombense
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

23.5%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio Novorizontino will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Jordi (G) 26. Adriano Martins 20. Felipe Marques 4. Ligger 16. Reverson 7. Douglas Baggio (C) 5. Geovane 28. Marlon 14. Paulo Eduardo 77. Rodolfo 97. Lepo	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Guilherme Santos 9. Fernandao 8. Bruninho 5. Ze Ricardo 22. Kevin 23. Jaderson 11. Kleiton
Substitutes
23. Biel 8. Denner 1. Georgemy (G) 18. Jenison 21. Joao Afonso 22. Joaozinho 3. Renato 15. Ricardinho 35. Roberto 17. Romulo 9. Ronaldo 95. Ze Mateus	19. Alex Sandro 14. Augusto 18. Djalma 16. Emerson 15. Joao Pedro 21. Keke 12. Leo Lang (G) 13. Lucas Marques 7. Marcelinho 10. Rafinha 20. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Junior M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novorizontino is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Bryan (Injury) Leo Tocantins (Injury) Raul Prata (Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Djalma (Injury) Wesley (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	4:1 ✺
11.09.23	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWWL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Tombense	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Tombense - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Guarani - Tombense	3:0 ✺
07.09.23	Tombense - ABC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.06.23	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0
18.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	1:3
Brazilian Serie C
24.10.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:1
18.10.21	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2

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