The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Novorizontino 45%
Draw 30.5%
Ceará 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
33.3%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
32.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
The chances for Ceará have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
23.1%
0%
Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 54% – 99.8%.
93. Jordi (G) 20. Castrillon N. 3. Carlinhos 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 17. Matheus Bianqui 18. Leo Naldi 15. Tavinho 10. Romulo 16. Vinicius Paiva 11. Robson (C)
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 18. Julio Cesar 33. Eder (C) 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 81. Joao Gabriel 20. Diego 30. Gustavo Prado 40. Melk 8. Matheus Araujo 11. Fernandinho
Substitutes
9. Carlao 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 77. Helio Borges 22. Ivan Alvarino 40. Jardiel 50. Juninho 21. Kauan Alemao 28. Marlon 8. Ortiz C. 33. Renato Palm 7. Ronald Barcellos
60. Enzo Lodovico 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 41. Gustavo Martins (G) 10. Juan Alano 31. Lucas Lima 98. Matheusinho 80. Pedro Esli 2. Ramos R. 12. Sanchez 9. Wendel Silva
Coaches
Moreira E.
Mozart
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Matheus Bianqui ⚽, Romulo (A),
27', Julio Cesar 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Melk ⚽, Fernandinho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo Prado ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
46', Fernando ↓, Sanchez ↑,
46', Leo Naldi ↓, Juninho ↑,
65', Melk ↓, Wendel Silva ↑,
65', Matheus Araujo ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
66', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Ronald Barcellos ↑,
67', Castrillon N. 🟨,
75', Diego ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
75', Tavinho ↓, Carlao ↑,
75', Castrillon N. ↓, Kauan Alemao ↑,
79', Sanchez 🟥,
83', Bruno Ferreira 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
90+5', Ramos R. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)
In recent matches, Novorizontino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ceará's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ceará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Novorizontino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Novorizontino: Diego Mathias
(Inactive)
Eduardo Brock
(Injury)
Gabriel Bahia
(Inactive)
Lora J.
(Inactive)
Lucas Pereira
(Inactive)
Luis Oyama
(Injury)
Nicolas Careca
(Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Inactive)
Sander
(Inactive)
There will not play in Ceará: Luiz Otavio
(Inactive)
Richard
(Injury)
Ronald Carvalho
(Inactive)
Wendel Silva
(Injury)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Cesar Augusto
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Brazil
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Jordi (G) 
Castrillon N. 
Ivan Alvarino 
Ramos R. 
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