Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: Belence Alves dos Prazeres Filho P. (Bra)


	Tombense		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.01	3.15	4.56
	1.95	2.88	3.75
	1.97	3.13	4.3	Watch
	2.01	3.05	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)	4.15 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
47.1%

Draw
30.4%

Botafogo SP
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

30.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

30.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Tombense - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho 6. Guilherme Santos 5. Ze Ricardo 8. Bruninho 10. Matheus Frizzo 11. Kleiton 9. Fernandao 7. Marcelinho	1. Matheus Albino (G) 2. Ericson 3. Diogo Silva 4. Marcio Silva 7. Thassio 5. Tarik 8. Guilherme Madruga 10. Ivonei 6. Jean 11. Lucas Cardoso 9. Edson Carius
Substitutes
20. Alexandre Jesus 19. Alex Sandro 14. Augusto 23. Bruno Silva 17. Daniel Amorim 16. Emerson 12. Jean (G) 15. Joao Pedro 21. Keke 13. Kevin 18. Rafinha 22. Robert	19. Edson Carioca 12. Gasparotto G. (G) 16. Guilherme Mantuan 18. Gustavo Xuxa 20. Jonas Toro 13. Lucas Dias 14. Luis Felipe 17. Osman 15. Pedro Rodrigues
Coaches
Junior M.	Marcelo Chamusca

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Botafogo SP have a series of home games.

In this match Tombense is a favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Joao Veras (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
17.09.23	Guarani - Tombense	3:0 ✺
07.09.23	Tombense - ABC	3:0 ✺
01.09.23	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Tombense - Ceará	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Avaí - Tombense	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.23	Botafogo SP - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Botafogo SP - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Botafogo SP - ABC	0:0 ✺
23.08.23	Botafogo SP - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.06.23	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.18	Tombense - Botafogo SP	0:0
10.06.18	Botafogo SP - Tombense	1:0
02.09.17	Tombense - Botafogo SP	2:1
02.07.17	Botafogo SP - Tombense	0:0
10.09.16	Botafogo SP - Tombense	1:0
10.07.16	Tombense - Botafogo SP	3:1

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