Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Guadalajara Chivas U21		Puebla U21

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.75	3.55	4.28
	1.77	3.64	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)	4.23 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalajara Chivas U21
52.1%

Draw
26.3%

Puebla U21
21.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

26.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Puebla U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla U21 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Puebla U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In recent matches, Guadalajara U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Puebla U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guadalajara U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Puebla U21 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guadalajara U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	12	5	2	2	3	20:19	21
10	Puebla U21	11	3	2	4	2	12:11	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
11.04.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	1:2 penalties ✺
05.04.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	3:4 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Club León U21	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Santos Laguna U21	2:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Atlas U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL
- Puebla U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
10.04.26	Puebla U21 - Club León U21	0:1 penalties ✺
03.04.26	Puebla U21 - Juárez U21	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Puebla U21 - Necaxa U21	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Puebla U21 - Tigres UANL U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
26.09.25	Puebla U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	1:1

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