The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guadalupe 17.6%
Draw 25.1%
Cartagines 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.1%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
26.7%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guadalupe's form might have worsened.
Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagines's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guadalupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Guadalupe - Cartagines Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Guadalupe will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cartagines will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Delgado J. (G) 32. Taylor S. 2. Miranda R. 4. Guzman K. 35. Mendez G. 21. Bonilla B. 34. Morera G. M. 11. Angulo M. 27. Amador A. 15. Demetrius T. 79. Maleck J.
1. Briceno K. (G) 18. Barahona C. 3. Faerron F. 5. Pereira M. 24. Zuniga S. 8. Lopez D. 15. Flores L. 6. Montero C. 10. Nunez C. (C) 13. Gaete J. 32. Lanfranchi E.
Substitutes
1. Arroyo Aguilar C. (G) 6. Chacon E. 3. Espino N. 30. Morejon J. 24. Ramirez Poveda L. J. 48. Salas I. 70. Santamaria P. 22. Telleria J. 49. Tovar Y. 19. Wright S.
26. Alfaro B. 11. Alfaro L. 22. Castrillo D. 16. Castro G. 2. Cordero R. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 4. Hernandez M. 21. Marquez R. 31. Mora J. 33. Moya C. (G)
Coaches
Morales A.
Villatoro A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Faerron F. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Pereira M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Amador A. ↓, Salas I. ↑,
46', Maleck J. ↓, Morejon J. ↑,
46', Lopez D. ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Gaete J. ⚽,
56', Lanfranchi E. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
57', Montero C. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Marquez R. ⚽,
66', Gaete J. ↓, Castrillo D. ↑,
66', Angulo M. ↓, Telleria J. ↑,
66', Taylor S. ↓, Espino N. ↑,
76', Morera G. M. ↓, Chacon E. ↑,
77', Faerron F. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Castro G. ⚽,
90', Espino N. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Cartagines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cartagines is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalupe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Cartagines
9
6
0
3
18:10
8
18
Last Results with these Odds
Cartagines - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Costa-rica
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Delgado J. (G) 
Demetrius T. 
Maleck J. 
Pereira M. 
Gaete J. 
Tovar Y. 
Wright S. 
Hernandez M. 
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