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Current Win Probability
Alajuelense 70.6%
Draw 19.4%
Guadalupe 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.7%
18.4%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76%
17.4%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alajuelense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Alajuelense - Guadalupe Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 26. Pinar F. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 24. Salazar A. 22. Matarrita R. 5. Borges C. (C) 14. Bran Flores A. J. 7. Hernandez A. 34. Perez C. 10. Campbell J. 18. Cisneros R.
99. Leal R. (G) 4. Guzman K. 2. Miranda R. 35. Mendez G. 21. Bonilla B. 11. Angulo M. (C) 32. Taylor S. 10. Morales E. 7. Ruiz J. 27. Amador A. 79. Maleck J.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 27. Alvarado J. 36. Badilla I. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 2. Paz D. 3. Quesada E. 9. Zaldivar A.
16. Ayala L. 6. Chacon E. 33. Delgado J. (G) 15. Demetrius T. 31. Fajardo K. 37. Mondy J. 30. Morejon J. 34. Morera G. M. 70. Santamaria P. 22. Telleria J.
Coaches
Ramirez O.
Morales A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Borges C. ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
18', Bonilla B. 🟨,
25', Ruiz J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Matarrita R. ⚽,
33', Pinar F. 🟨,
37', Parkins R. 🟨,
41', Campbell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morales E. ↓, Demetrius T. ↑,
58', Campbell J. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
58', Pinar F. ↓, Badilla I. ↑,
62', Maleck J. ↓, Santamaria P. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Demetrius T. ⚽,
71', Amador A. 🟨,
75', Badilla I. 🟨,
77', Perez C. ↓, Cuello R. ↑,
78', Hernandez A. ↓, Paz D. ↑,
82', Ruiz J. ↓, Morera G. M. ↑,
82', Miranda R. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
90+3', Angulo M. ↓, Fajardo K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 3.
Alajuelense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guadalupe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Guadalupe has had a series of home games.
In this match, Alajuelense is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.6:0.4).
Costa-rica
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Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 
Pinar F. 
Cisneros R. 
Ayala L. 
Demetrius T. 
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