Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Municipal Liberia		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3.15	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.27	3.7
	2.36	3.15	3.1	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.14	3.24	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.24)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	3.33 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
42.9%

Draw
29.4%

Cartagines
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.9%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Municipal Liberia - Cartagines Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cartagines will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal Liberia: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagines (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 7. Johnson S. 5. Molina Y. 15. Reyes C. (C) 24. Francis W. 42. Ruiz J. 31. Padilla S. 27. Chevez A. 10. Hernandez Y. 11. Torres E. 16. Hernandez A.	1. Briceno K. (G) 18. Barahona C. 2. Cordero R. 5. Pereira M. 3. Faerron F. 8. Lopez D. 13. Gaete J. 24. Zuniga S. 26. Alfaro B. 10. Nunez C. (C) 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
19. Arevalo T. 32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 22. Hudson A. 30. Huertas J. 21. Orellano L. 6. Pena R. 99. Ramirez R. 4. Rios J. 3. Sequeira D.	40. Alvarado F. 22. Castrillo D. 16. Castro G. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 4. Hernandez M. 32. Lanfranchi E. 17. Lopez Y. 6. Montero C. 33. Moya C. (G) 25. Quiros S.
Coaches
Cardozo J.	Villatoro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Cordero R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Torres E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Hernandez Y. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez A. 🟨,
64', Cordero R. ↓, Montero C. ↑,
68', Rios J. 🟨,
70', Ruiz J. 🟨,
71', Molina Y. 🟨,
73', Torres E. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
77', Alfaro B. ↓, Lopez Y. ↑,
77', Barahona C. ↓, Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↑,
82', Gaete J. ↓, Lanfranchi E. ↑,
82', Zuniga S. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
89', Ruiz J. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2.

Municipal Liberia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cartagines has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cartagines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cartagines	9	6	0	3	18:10	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
12.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	5:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
25.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
20.03.26	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Herediano - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 WWTWW
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.04.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Sporting San José - Cartagines	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Pérez Zeledón - Cartagines	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
22.02.26	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	2:1
07.12.25	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	0:0
25.07.25	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	1:0
03.05.25	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	0:1
19.01.25	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	0:1
05.11.24	Cartagines - Municipal Liberia	2:1
10.09.24	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	3:0

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