Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez (Ciudad Quesada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX, Tigo Sports


	San Carlos		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.88	3.25	3.95	Watch
	1.94	3.29	4.28
	1.86	3.54	4.09	Watch
	1.85	3	3.9
	1.89	3.18	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.63)	4 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
48.8%

Draw
28.4%

Guadalupe
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.7%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

24.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

San Carlos - Guadalupe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Carlos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guadalupe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez M. (G) 22. Aguero J. 18. Aguilar J. 16. Castillo G. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 4. Fonseca P. 31. Hernandez E. 9. Martinez B. 5. Martinez C. 26. Rojas O. 21. Venegas J.	99. Leal R. (G) 27. Amador A. 11. Angulo M. 21. Bonilla B. 4. Guzman K. 79. Maleck J. 35. Mendez G. 2. Miranda R. 7. Ruiz J. 70. Santamaria P. 32. Taylor S.
Substitutes
15. Calvo A. 33. Castro G. 10. Cerdas K. 7. Guevara A. 30. Masis D. 19. McDonald J. 20. Rivera R. 12. Sanchez D. 70. Solano C. 23. Vega J. (G)	16. Ayala L. 6. Chacon E. 33. Delgado J. (G) 15. Demetrius T. 31. Fajardo K. 37. Mondy J. 10. Morales E. 30. Morejon J. 34. Morera G. M. 22. Telleria J.
Coaches
Centeno W.	Wright M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Aguilar J. ⚽,
25', Fonseca P. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Cordoba R. ⚽,
44', Santamaria P. ↓, Demetrius T. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bonilla B. ↓, Morera G. M. ↑,
46', Fonseca P. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Aguilar J. ⚽,
67', Miranda R. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
67', Amador A. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
68', Maleck J. ↓, Mondy J. ↑,
71', Demetrius T. 🟨,
75', Rojas O. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
83', Aguilar J. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
83', Martinez B. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
83', Hernandez E. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Guevara A. ⚽,
89', Cordoba R. 🟨,
89', Mondy J. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 4.

San Carlos is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guadalupe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Carlos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Carlos won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Carlos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	San Carlos	9	5	0	4	8:9	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.04.26	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Sporting San José - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Carlos - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLT
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.04.26	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Guadalupe - Sporting San José	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Guadalupe - Puntarenas FC	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Guadalupe	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Guadalupe - Herediano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
14.02.26	Guadalupe - San Carlos	3:4
24.10.25	San Carlos - Guadalupe	1:1
11.09.25	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:3
19.04.23	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:3
19.02.23	San Carlos - Guadalupe	2:0
21.09.22	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:1
19.04.22	San Carlos - Guadalupe	2:1

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