Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)


	Guadalupe		Guanacasteca

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.4
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.89	3.4	3.7
	1.99	3.53	3.84
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.42	3.46	Watch
	2	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.73)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	3.57 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
46.7%

Draw
27.7%

Guanacasteca
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.5%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guadalupe's form might have worsened.

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guadalupe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guanacasteca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Guadalupe - Guanacasteca Predictions

Users Predictions: Guadalupe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Guadalupe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guadalupe is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalupe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.23	Municipal Grecia - Guadalupe	3:4 ✺
05.02.23	Guadalupe - Puntarenas FC	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Guadalupe - Cartagines	5:1 ✺
25.01.23	Sporting San José - Guadalupe	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL
- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.23	Guanacasteca - Sporting San José	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Pérez Zeledón - Guanacasteca	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Herediano - Guanacasteca	0:1 ✺
24.01.23	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
14.08.22	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	1:0
11.08.22	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	1:2
15.05.22	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	0:0
01.04.22	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	1:2
01.10.21	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	1:1
07.08.21	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	0:1

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