Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Chorotega (Nicoya)

Referee: Camacho P. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV


	Guanacasteca		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	7.5	3.9	1.48
	7	4.1	1.45	Watch
	7.28	3.89	1.49	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.62
	6.39	3.79	1.49	Watch
	7	4.1	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.78 ↑ (5.21)	3.88 ↑ (3.6)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
13.7%

Draw
24%

Alajuelense
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.7%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

24.8%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Guanacasteca - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Guanacasteca will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alajuelense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lajud G. (G) 26. Hernandez J. 16. Leveron J. 5. Molina Y. (C) 14. Mendez G. 22. Mora J. 30. Porras J. A. 8. Olivero J. 24. Ugalde J. 88. Matarrita S. 17. Rodriguez N.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 2. Martinez C. 13. Gamboa A. 25. van der Putten S. 22. Matarrita R. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 8. Angulo L. 5. Borges C. (C) 97. Anderson Canhoto 33. Lucumi J. 9. Moya J.
Substitutes
27. Matarrita J. 11. Mauricio G. 13. Mejia J. (G) 15. Munoz G. 19. Smith R. 23. Venegas F. 9. Venegas J.	1. Mora B. (G) 16. Oviedo B. 34. Perez C. 26. Pinar F. 24. Salazar A. 10. Suarez A. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G.
Coaches
Diaz M.	Guimaraes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Mora J. ⚽,
21', Martinez C. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Moya J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Matarrita S. 🟨,
58', Matarrita S. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
58', Borges C. 🟨,
62', Anderson Canhoto ↓, Perez C. ↑,
62', Martinez C. ↓, Pinar F. ↑,
70', Lucumi J. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
74', Porras J. A. ↓, Matarrita J. ↑,
74', Ugalde J. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
85', Matarrita R. ↓, Oviedo B. ↑,
85', Angulo L. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
86', Gamboa A. 🟥,
90', Ortega Olivera W. J. 🟨,
90+2', Hernandez J. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
90+2', Mora J. ↓, Mauricio G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 2.

Guanacasteca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alajuelense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:41 (average 0.9:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alajuelense - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.54%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.04.25	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Municipal Liberia - Guanacasteca	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Guanacasteca - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Puntarenas FC - Guanacasteca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTLT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.04.25	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Alajuelense - San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
22.03.25	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
16.03.25	Cartagines - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.25	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	1:0
30.11.24	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	1:0
07.09.24	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	4:0
12.05.24	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	5:0
10.03.24	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	3:0
25.11.23	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	3:4
Costa Rican Copa
15.10.23	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	2:0

Upcoming Matches