Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Guadalupe		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.53
	4.95	3.8	1.6	Watch
	5.93	4.08	1.56
	5.03	4.13	1.61	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.53
	5.07	3.66	1.59	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.86)	3.86 ↓ (3.93)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
18%

Draw
23.8%

Deportivo Saprissa
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

23.8%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.5%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guadalupe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Saprissa will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Leal R. (G) 32. Taylor S. 16. Ayala L. 2. Miranda R. 4. Guzman K. 35. Mendez G. 11. Angulo M. 27. Amador A. 10. Morales E. 34. Morera G. M. 7. Ruiz J.	40. Madriz A. (G) 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 4. Waston K. 3. Arboine P. 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 25. Acuna S. 23. Paradela L. 8. Guzman D. 20. Torres M. (C) 7. Hernandez B. 14. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
9. Clunie G. 33. Delgado J. (G) 31. Fajardo K. 23. Lopez B. 79. Maleck J. 12. Mclean K. 30. Morejon J. 8. Nunez S. 14. Rojas H. 19. Wright S.	30. Alvarez M. (G) 39. Barahona A. 12. Blanco R. 10. Brenes J. 27. Chirino R. 11. Loria M. 9. Rodriguez T. 24. Sinclair O. 28. Torres G. 46. Woodly D.
Coaches
Wright M.	Medford H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Ayala L. 🟨,
11', Acuna S. ↓, Barahona A. ↑,
28', Ayala L. ↓, Fajardo K. ↑,
30', 🟨,
45+2', Morera G. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Hernandez B. ⚽,
61', 0 - 2, Hernandez B. ⚽,
68', Taylor S. 🟨,
69', Morales E. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
69', Amador A. ↓, Maleck J. ↑,
72', Paradela L. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
72', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
72', Guzman D. ↓, Brenes J. ↑,
82', Clunie G. 🟨,
83', Morera G. M. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 0.

Guadalupe is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Saprissa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Saprissa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saprissa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:44. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalupe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saprissa	9	7	0	2	20:10	10	21

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Saprissa - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.99%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.02.26	Pérez Zeledón - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guadalupe - San Carlos	3:4 ✺
08.02.26	Sporting San José - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLTLT
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
11.02.26	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	2:4 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
05.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.11.25	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	1:3
14.09.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Guadalupe	3:1
19.03.23	Deportivo Saprissa - Guadalupe	2:1
22.01.23	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1
02.10.22	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2
04.05.22	Guadalupe - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2
27.02.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Guadalupe	2:1

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