Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cuenca Juniors		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.50	3.20
	2.55	2.60	2.95
	2.60	2.55	3.58
	2.67	2.5	3.39	Watch
	2.59	2.45	3.14
	2.41	2.84	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	3.26 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuenca Juniors
36.1%

Draw
35.7%

9 de Octubre
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

35.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

36.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuenca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuenca Juniors than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Zambrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Moreira L. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cuenca Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cuenca Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nueve de Octubre	28	11	12	5	31:20	11	45
5	Cuenca Juniors	29	10	9	10	23:32	-9	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuenca Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	22 de Julio - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Cumbayá - Cuenca Juniors	0:0 ✺
24.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cuenca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.08.26	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	El Nacional - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	9 de Octubre - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
30.05.26	9 de Octubre - Cuenca Juniors	3:3
26.03.26	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	0:0
Ecuadorian Copa
22.10.25	Cuenca Juniors - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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