Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Andrade (Azogues)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Gualaceo		Atlético Rojiblanco

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.68	3.05
	2.47	2.96	3.39
	2.51	2.65	3.41
	2.41	2.60	3.32
	2.36	2.70	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)	2.72 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
37.9%

Draw
33.8%

Atlético Rojiblanco
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Atlético Rojiblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Rojiblanco than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

Gualaceo is Serie B (Relegation Group )

Atlético Rojiblanco is Qualified for Serie B (Promotion Group )

Gualaceo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Rojiblanco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Rojiblanco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gualaceo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gualaceo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atletico FC	28	12	13	3	34:18	16	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Macará	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.26	El Nacional - Gualaceo	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL
- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Serie B
06.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Cuenca Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - San Antonio	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
22.05.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Gualaceo	2:1

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