Match Info
Serie B - Round 18Date: 24 July 2026, FridayLocation: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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El Nacional |
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Gualaceo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.3 |
3.45 |
2.14 |
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 |
3.82 |
3.34 |
1.97 |
Watch |
 |
3.05 |
3.4 |
2.11 |
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3.34 |
3.44 |
2.09 |
Watch |
 |
3.15 |
3.3 |
2.08 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(4.28) |
3.36 ↑
(3.16) |
2.07 ↑
(1.78) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Nacional
28% | Draw
27.4% | Gualaceo
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Nacional's performance.Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gualaceo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gualaceo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.El Nacional - Gualaceo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )). El Nacional is Serie B (Relegation Group )In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 3.El Nacional has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Gualaceo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Gualaceo will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
El Nacional - the odds 4.28 are the expected chance of winning is 21.01%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 02.05.26 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 2:0 | | Ecuadorian Liga Pro | | | 12.11.23 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 4:2 | | 04.06.23 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 3:4 | | Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 06.10.21 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 4:2 | | 11.08.21 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 1:0 | | 16.06.21 | El Nacional - Gualaceo | 1:1 | | 06.05.21 | Gualaceo - El Nacional | 1:0 |
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