Match Info

Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Independiente Juniors		Atlético Rojiblanco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.10	4.10
	1.91	3.05	3.80
	1.86	3.15	4.68
	1.84	3.29	4.47
	1.86	3.37	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	3.19 ↑ (3.05)	4.26 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Juniors
49.6%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Rojiblanco
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

29.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlético Rojiblanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Rojiblanco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Independiente Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Atlético Rojiblanco will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Independiente Jr is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente Jr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Juniors	29	13	11	5	36:23	13	50
2	Atletico FC	28	12	13	3	34:18	16	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
12.09.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Independiente Juniors - Cuenca Juniors	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	San Antonio - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Independiente Juniors - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTTT
- Atlético Rojiblanco
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.26	San Antonio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
27.08.26	Vinotinto - Atlético Rojiblanco	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Gualaceo - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.07.26	Independiente Juniors - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0
22.04.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Independiente Juniors	1:1

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