Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Gualaceo		Fuerza Amarilla

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.1
	1.77	3.35	4
	1.73	3.6	3.95
	1.76	3.9	4.13
	1.78	3.44	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.22)	3.56 ↑ (3.14)	4.09 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
52%

Draw
25.7%

Fuerza Amarilla
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gualaceo's performance.

Fuerza Amarilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuerza Amarilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gualaceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerza Amarilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Gualaceo - Fuerza Amarilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gualaceo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuerza Amarilla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fuerza Amarilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gualaceo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.10.20	Atlético Santo Domingo - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
17.09.20	Gualaceo - Manta	0:1 ✺
14.09.20	Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Gualaceo - Santa Rita	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTWL
- Fuerza Amarilla SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.10.20	Chacaritas - Fuerza Amarilla	0:0 ✺
26.09.20	Fuerza Amarilla - Atlético Santo Domingo	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Independiente Juniors - Fuerza Amarilla	2:0 ✺
16.09.20	Fuerza Amarilla - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
04.09.20	Fuerza Amarilla - Atlético Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTL

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