Match Info
Serie B - Round 9Date: 7 May 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports |
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Independiente Juniors |
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Gualaceo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.92 |
2.92 |
4.05 |
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 |
1.74 |
3.4 |
4.66 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.38 |
4.7 |
 Watch |
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1.95 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
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1.89 |
3.05 |
4.09 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.84) |
3.13 ↓
(3.3) |
4.28 ↓
(4.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente Juniors
49.3% | Draw
29.3% | Gualaceo
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
Independiente Juniors will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Padilla J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.Independiente Jr has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Gualaceo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Gualaceo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Independiente Jr is a strong favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Ind. Juniors | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 16 |
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| 10 | Gualaceo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 16.10.25 | Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo | 2:1 | | 16.09.25 | Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors | 1:0 | | 24.07.25 | Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors | 0:1 | | 13.05.25 | Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo | 1:1 | | 16.10.24 | Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors | 2:1 | | 30.08.24 | Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo | 4:1 | | 27.03.24 | Independiente Juniors - Gualaceo | 3:2 |
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