The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Porteño 36.8%
Draw 35.2%
Gualaceo 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
35.3%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
23.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Porteño's form might have worsened.
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Porteño that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
53.8%
30.8%
Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Atlético Porteño will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.6% – 73%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Atlético Porteño is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gualaceo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Porteño won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porteño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
Watch
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