Match Info

FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Guangdong GZ-Power		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.5	5.25	1.26
	4.3	3.65	1.77
	4.4	3.7	1.78
	4.06	3.54	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.32	3.44	1.79	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (2.56)	3.78 ↑ (3.46)	1.71 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong GZ-Power
19.5%

Draw
25.1%

Shenzhen Peng City
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong GZ-Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangdong GZ-Power's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangdong GZ-Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Guangdong GZ Power - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangdong GZ-Power will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong GZ-Power (votes: 1 - 50%). Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Shenzhen Peng City (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong GZ-Power (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Xia Dalong ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Xia Dalong ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 2 - 1, Sarkaria M. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Zhou Dadi ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Jiang Zhipeng (Pen),
1, Nikao (Pen),
2, Dugalic R. (Pen),
2, Liang Xueming (Pen),
3, Sarkaria M. (Pen),
3, Chen Guoliang (Pen),
4, Zhou Dadi (Pen),
4, Xia Dalong (Pen),
5, Kartsev E. (Pen),
5, Joao Carlos (Pen),

Preview

Guangdong GZ-Power is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shenzhen Peng City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shenzhen Peng City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shenzhen Peng City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:5 ✺
04.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
10.05.25	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
06.05.25	Qingdao West Coast - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Dalian Young Boy	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWTL

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