Match Info

Super League - Round 22

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Beijing Guoan		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.43	4.75	5.50
	1.38	4.90	6.75	Watch
	1.46	5.11	6.07
	1.43	4.91	6.28	Watch
	1.44	5.05	6.00
	1.45	5.00	6.28	Watch
	1.46	5.00	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	4.93 ↓ (5.27)	6.12 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
65.6%

Draw
19.1%

Shenzhen Peng City
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

17.7%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

16.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Beijing Guoan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 47. Deng Jiefu 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning	13. Peng Peng (G) 16. Tang Miao 3. Gabriel Xavier 46. Shen H. 20. Xuan Z. 19. Zhang Yufeng 4. Jiang Zhipeng 8. Chow T. 36. Kartsev E. 11. Ademi A. 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
41. Cheng Xi 30. Fan Shuangjie 36. Jia Feifan 58. Jiang Z. 31. Liu S. (G) 7. Serginho 27. Wang Gang 18. Wang Yu 43. Xiaoyu X. 17. Yang Liyu 50. Zhang H. 10. Zhang Xizhe	1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 35. Wei Minzhe (G) 29. Xia Dalong 23. Yang Yiming 54. Yao J. 39. Yu Menghui 15. Yu Rui 25. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Montgomery N.	Neilson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Zhang Yuning ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Dawhan ⚽, Deng Jiefu (A),
41', Shen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Zhang Yufeng 🟨,
51', 3 - 0, Dawhan ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
56', Ramos G. 🟨,
61', Shen H. ↓, Yang Yiming ↑,
62', Zhang Yuning ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
62', Deng Jiefu ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
64', Kartsev E. ↓, Yu Menghui ↑,
68', Abreu F. 🟨,
72', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
72', Cao Yongjing ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
75', Jiang Zhipeng 🟨,
79', 4 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽,
83', Bai Yang ↓, Jiang Z. ↑,
84', Zhang Yufeng ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.

Beijing Guoan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shenzhen Peng City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Wang Gang (Injury)

There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F. (Injury) Dai Wai-Tsun (Injury)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Wu Shaocong (Injury)

We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	26	8	4	14	34:45	-11	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
01.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
02.08.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	4:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shenzhen Peng City	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.04.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	0:1
18.10.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	2:1
10.05.25	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1
26.07.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Guoan	1:0
09.04.24	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2
Chinese FA Cup
14.10.21	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches