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Current Win Probability
Lanzhou Longyuan 33.7%
Draw 31.2%
Guangdong Mingtu 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
32%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
30.9%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanzhou Longyuan's form might have worsened.
Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lanzhou Longyuan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Guangdong Mingtu will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangdong Mingtu: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zhang Jihao (G) 3. Zhou Ziang 19. Chen Zitong (C) 4. Xiao Yufeng 46. Chen Yu 18. Lin Taijun 15. Mijit M. 6. Liu Yang 57. Lu J. 52. Zhong Weihong 33. Muhtar Ular
39. Pang Jiajun (G) 51. Yao H. 6. Zhang Junzhe (C) 5. Zheng Zhiming 3. Liu Ruicheng 55. Pan N. 21. Huang Guangliang 67. Tang Tianyi 43. Zhu X. 52. Zhong W. 50. Zhao C.
Substitutes
5. Abdukerim O. 16. Chen Yanxin 17. Esqer Iskender 23. He Yunxin 27. Liu Y. 26. Mei Jingxuan 13. Mu Qianyu (G) 28. Sun Xu 11. Tai Jianfeng 45. Wan Likai 20. Xie Hongyu 47. Yang Shengming
56. Abdusemet E. 15. Chen Rijin 66. Gu Zhiwei 59. Li J. (G) 9. Li Ming 49. Li T. 20. Liu Ziheng 46. Luo H. 4. Peng Jiahao 68. Tang Wenxuan 8. Wen Y. 57. Wu Z.
Coaches
Yu Yuanwei
Li X.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Muhtar Ular ⚽, Zhou Ziang (A),
32', Zhang Junzhe 🟨,
45', Pan N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pan N. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
46', Tang Tianyi ↓, Liu Ziheng ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Lu J. ⚽, Liu Yang (A),
61', Yao H. ↓, Chen Rijin ↑,
63', Huang Guangliang 🟨,
66', Huang Guangliang ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
69', Muhtar Ular 🟨,
69', Muhtar Ular ↓, Liu Y. ↑,
74', Zhu X. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Lin Taijun ⚽,
78', Mijit M. ↓, Yang Shengming ↑,
79', Zhong Weihong ↓, Wan Likai ↑,
79', Lin Taijun ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑,
80', Zhu X. ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
82', Chen Zitong ↓, Xie Hongyu ↑,
88', Zhou Ziang ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑,
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Lanzhou Longyuan could have a small edge in this match.
Watch
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Zhang Jihao (G) 
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