The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shanghai Second 26.5%
Draw 28.8%
Guangdong Mingtu 44.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
29.7%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
30.5%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Second has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Second's form might have worsened.
Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangdong Mingtu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Second than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Second, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shanghai Second - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zhou Zhengkai (G) 36. Xiang Ruoke 3. He B. 5. Bi Haoyang 2. Jiang Zhixin 8. Qi Long 6. Xu Lei (C) 4. Li Guihao 14. Wang Jiahao 24. Yu Yanfeng 9. He Shaolin
14. Li C. (G) 12. Chen Rijin (C) 28. Zhang Zhihao 21. Liu Shuai 52. Zhong W. 5. Jiang Yixiang 8. Tian Li 17. Wang Tanyou 7. Gu Zhiwei 40. Sun Chenxi 46. Yang Zhengyi
Substitutes
40. Aidi 19. Chen Q. 12. Guo Tong (G) 20. He K. 15. He Linhan 32. Li Jianbin 13. Lin J. 17. Lin Jinghao 25. Liu Wenjie 35. Yang Yi 11. Zhang Yi
22. Fang H. 42. He J. 6. Huang Guangliang 9. Li Ming 1. Liu Qingchang (G) 33. Qu J. 36. Tan Zhennan 13. Weiming L. 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 51. Yao H. 43. Zhu Xinyu
Coaches
Dimitrijevic M.
Sanabria A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Sun Chenxi ↓, Qu J. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Gu Zhiwei ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Xiang Ruoke ⚽, Yu Yanfeng (A),
45+2', He Shaolin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Wang Jiahao ↓, Aidi ↑,
59', Jiang Yixiang 🟨,
63', Yang Zhengyi ↓, Li Ming ↑,
63', Jiang Yixiang ↓, Zhu Xinyu ↑,
63', Chen Rijin ↓, Fang H. ↑,
64', He Shaolin ↓, Liu Wenjie ↑,
75', He B. 🟨,
76', Jiang Zhixin ↓, Yang Yi ↑,
76', He B. ↓, Lin Jinghao ↑,
77', Aidi 🟨,
80', Fang H. 🟨,
88', Zhang Zhihao ↓, Tan Zhennan ↑,
90+6', Xiang Ruoke 🟨,
90+9', Xu Lei ↓, He Linhan ↑,
Preview
Shanghai Second is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Guangdong Mingtu have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Second has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shanghai Second against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
China
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Zhou Zhengkai (G) 
Dimitrijevic M. 
Sanabria A. 
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