Match Info

League One - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guangxi Hengchen		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.40	4.40	5.75
	1.34	4.70	7.50	Watch
	1.39	5.04	7.45
	1.4	4.71	6.99	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.35
	1.39	4.33	6.61	Watch
	1.39	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	4.63 ↓ (4.9)	6.84 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
66.6%

Draw
19.9%

Meizhou Hakka
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.6%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

17.7%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 25. Ren K. 5. Luan H. 6. Chen G. 3. Yuan X. (C) 21. Dai Ming 18. Wei Chaolun 7. Chen D. 10. Ardazishvili R. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 26. Yu Wai-Lim 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. 17. Yang Yihu (C) 25. Li Jiarun 6. Wang Haoran 15. Luo H. 24. Sakhi H. 16. Yang Chaosheng 10. Triboulet V.
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 19. Cen Liyi 42. Ji Tianle 23. Khedrup Lobsang 41. Liang Kun (G) 44. Liang Yibin 32. Li S. 2. Lu Jiaqiang 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 4. Zhang Z.	13. Lai J. 3. Liang Jiahao 22. Liao J. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 32. Wen Q. 20. Wen Z. 27. Zhang Enqi 33. Zhu Baojie
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Zhu Jiong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Mbo N. ⚽,
43', Luan H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
84', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Ablimit Subi ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 13).

Guangxi Hengchen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Meizhou Hakka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
14	Meizhou Hakka	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
09.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Hengchen	2:4 ✺
26.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dingnan United	4:4 ✺
18.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWW
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
08.08.26	Meizhou Hakka - Foshan Nanshi	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Meizhou Hakka	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
11.04.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
20.05.25	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	2:1

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