Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guangxi Hengchen		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	1.98	3.30	3.40	Watch
	2.16	3.45	3.37
	2.17	3.24	3.34	Watch
	2.13	3.25	3.30
	2.09	3.14	3.29	Watch
	2.12	3.20	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	3.29 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
43.6%

Draw
28.4%

Shaanxi Union
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Guangxi Hengchen (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 2. Lu Jiaqiang 3. Yuan X. (C) 6. Chen G. 18. Wei Chaolun 44. Liang Yibin 7. Chen D. 11. Lapoussin L. 36. Mbo N.	39. He Lipan (G) 23. Jin W. 5. Ma Sheng 25. Cao Kang (C) 38. Wang Jia'nan 42. Wei Zhiwei 10. El Azrak R. 19. Irandust D. 21. Wang Shijie 33. Tan Kaiyuan 9. Selmani A.
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 10. Ardazishvili R. 19. Cen Liyi 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 23. Khedrup Lobsang 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 4. Zhang Z.	17. Feng Boyuan 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 27. Jiang Wenhao 30. Leng Jixuan 24. Liang Shaowen 20. Ma H. W. 14. Meng Fanning 6. Tursunali Nureli 2. Wen Junjie 36. Yan Yu 16. Zhao Shi (G)
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Chen Tao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Wang Jia'nan 🟨,
27', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Lu Jiaqiang ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
57', Liang Yibin ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
57', Chen D. ↓, Ren K. ↑,
59', Tan Kaiyuan ↓, Tursunali Nureli ↑,
59', Selmani A. ↓, Feng Boyuan ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Ji Tianle ⚽, Lapoussin L. (A),
66', Wei Chaolun ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
69', El Azrak R. ↓, Ghojaehmet Shahzat ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Mbo N. ⚽, Yuan X. (A),
85', Li S. ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
85', Jin W. ↓, Yan Yu ↑,
85', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Leng Jixuan ↑,
90+1', Yan Yu 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Lapoussin L. ⚽, Mbo N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In recent matches, Guangxi Hengchen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shaanxi Union is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guangxi Hengchen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guangxi Hengchen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
05.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Foshan Nanshi	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLTT
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
11.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Meizhou Hakka	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Shaanxi Union - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.06.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shaanxi Union	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
13.10.24	Shaanxi Union - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0
07.09.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union	1:2

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