Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Guangxi Sports Center (Nanning)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guangxi Hengchen		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.60	4.75
	1.65	3.70	4.50
	1.61	4.04	5.36
	1.64	3.99	4.78	Watch
	1.59	4.00	5.05
	1.64	3.86	4.96	Watch
	1.58	3.80	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)	3.86 ↑ (3.4)	4.9 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Hengchen
57.2%

Draw
23.9%

Yanbian Longding
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

26.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangxi Hengchen's performance.

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Guangxi Hengchen - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Liang Kun (G) 25. Ren K. 5. Luan H. 6. Chen G. 3. Yuan X. (C) 24. Ji X. 18. Wei Chaolun 44. Liang Yibin 7. Chen D. 23. Khedrup Lobsang 36. Mbo N.	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 33. Hu Ziqian 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 36. Li R. 17. Piao Shihao (C) 16. Xu Wenguang 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. 37. Giovanny
Substitutes
28. Ablimit Subi 10. Ardazishvili R. 19. Cen Liyi 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 32. Li S. 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 4. Zhang Z. 27. Zhang Zijian	11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 8. He Zhenyu 32. Huang Z. 40. Jin Xingdao 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 29. Yang Erhai 9. Zong Xuanyu
Coaches
Liu Junwei	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Brown F. ⚽,
20', Ji X. 🟨,
34', Ren K. ↓, Li S. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ji X. ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
56', Hu Ziqian ↓, Che Zeping ↑,
56', Li R. ↓, Li Shibin ↑,
66', Khedrup Lobsang ↓, Dai Ming ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽, Liang Yibin (A),
74', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Chen Keqiang ↑,
74', Jin Taiyan ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
77', Che Zeping 🟨,
82', Liang Yibin ↓, Ning W. ↑,
88', Piao Shihao ↓, Yang Erhai ↑,
90+1', Chen D. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guangxi Hengchen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
06.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Guangxi Hengchen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTWL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
05.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Hengchen	1:1

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