Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Rugao Olympic Sports Center (Rugao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Nantong Zhiyun		Guangxi Hengchen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.50	4.20
	1.62	3.55	4.90
	1.76	3.70	4.72
	1.61	4.07	4.91	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.65
	1.77	3.64	4.37	Watch
	1.73	3.60	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.32)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	4.55 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
54.4%

Draw
25.3%

Guangxi Hengchen
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.3%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantong Zhiyun's performance.

Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Hengchen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantong Zhiyun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Hengchen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Hengchen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nie Xuran (G) 21. Lucas Kal 6. Hu Mingfei (C) 4. Luo Xin 27. Wu Xingyu 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 36. Dai Yuanji 10. Kalulu A. 40. Beshathan Zanhar 11. Ruan Yang	41. Liang Kun (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 6. Chen G. 3. Yuan X. (C) 18. Wei Chaolun 23. Khedrup Lobsang 44. Liang Yibin 24. Ji X. 7. Chen D. 36. Mbo N.
Substitutes
23. Dujardin R. 14. Gonzalez E. 37. Jia Boyan 20. Jiang Jiapeng 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 19. Nan Xiaoheng 5. Shen Chao 2. Xu Hui 22. Zhang Jingzhe	28. Ablimit Subi 10. Ardazishvili R. 19. Cen Liyi 21. Dai Ming 42. Ji Tianle 20. Lu Junhui 16. Ning W. 12. Yao-hsing Yu 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 4. Zhang Z. 27. Zhang Zijian
Coaches
Kim Dae-Eui	Liu Junwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ji X. ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
46', Ruan Yang ↓, Nan Xiaoheng ↑,
46', Dai Yuanji ↓, Shen Chao ↑,
46', Hu Mingfei ↓, Zhang Jingzhe ↑,
52', Kalulu A. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Mbo N. ⚽, Ardazishvili R. (A),
58', Khedrup Lobsang ↓, Dai Ming ↑,
58', Chen D. ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
61', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
68', Luo Xin 🟨,
70', Deng Yubiao ↓, Jia Boyan ↑,
74', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
75', Liang Yibin ↓, Ning W. ↑,
88', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Zhang Zijian ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).

Nantong Zhiyun has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guangxi Hengchen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Guangxi Hengchen has had a series of home games.

Nantong Zhiyun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nantong Zhiyun won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34:20	14	45
3	Guangxi Hengchen	25	13	6	6	40:27	13	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Nantong Zhiyun	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWT
- Guangxi Hengchen
Chinese Jia League
12.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Nanjing City - Guangxi Hengchen	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.05.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0

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