Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Longhua sports center stadium (Shenzhen)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Shenzhen Juniors		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.60	4.20
	1.46	4.05	5.3	Watch
	1.51	4.38	6
	1.59	4.1	5.09	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.9
	1.52	4.09	6.04	Watch
	1.48	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)	4.1 ↑ (3.75)	5.42 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shenzhen Juniors
60.5%

Draw
22.5%

Changchun Yatai
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

23.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Juniors's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen Juniors - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cheng Yuelei (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 20. Dugalic R. (C) 24. Leung Nok-Hang 37. Shang Yin 19. Su Yuliang 30. Gan Xianhao 33. Zhao Yingjie 29. Lin Zefeng 25. Rodrigo Henrique 38. Nouble J.	23. Wu Yake (G) 4. Wang Weipu 27. Reiner C. 41. Wu Junjie 37. Zhou Dadi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 6. Li Qiang 39. Liu Ziheng 29. Tan Long (C) 38. Sun Xipeng 17. Muhamet
Substitutes
21. Chen Y. 2. Chen Yuhao 31. Chen Zirong (G) 14. Huang Jiajun 17. Hu Ming 41. Liu Haoran (G) 15. Su Yuanjie 27. Zhao S. 39. Zheng Zhiming 6. Zhong Haoran 32. Zhu G.	22. Benhaddouche C. 25. Chen Xuhuang 13. Dong Yifan (G) 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 36. Lu K. 9. Omoijuanfo O. 33. Sun Guoliang 32. Tian Ziyi
Coaches
Pirri D.	Yan Feng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Sun Xipeng 🟨,
43', Tudi Dilyimit 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lin Zefeng ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
46', Liu Ziheng ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Muhamet ⚽, Sun Xipeng (A),
53', Muhamet 🟨,
56', Muhamet ↓, Du Kaile ↑,
59', Leung Nok-Hang 🟨,
59', Wu Junjie 🟨,
64', Gan Xianhao ↓, Zhong Haoran ↑,
64', Shang Yin ↓, Zhu G. ↑,
65', Tan Long ↓, Omoijuanfo O. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Su Yuliang ⚽,
71', Benhaddouche C. 🟨,
76', Sun Qinhan ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑,
81', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, JIng Boxi ↑,
81', Wu Junjie ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
84', Leung Nok-Hang 🟥,
87', Du Kaile 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Super League and 9th).

Shenzhen Juniors has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Changchun Yatai have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Shenzhen Juniors for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Shenzhen Juniors in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shenzhen Juniors has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shenzhen Juniors	25	12	8	5	40:29	11	44
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese Jia League
13.09.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Juniors	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Meizhou Hakka	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
23.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Foshan Nanshi	6:0 ✺
14.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
24.05.26	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Juniors	0:4

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