Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.72
	4.5	3.6	1.68
	4.75	3.65	1.7
	4.6	3.6	1.71
	4.83	3.62	1.77
	4.8	3.4	1.67
	4.65	3.62	1.73
	4.6	3.6	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↓ (5)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
19.7%

Draw
25.8%

Meizhou Hakka
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

27.2%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

26.7%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).

Guangzhou Evergrande has the most likely position - 1 (100%), has project points - 72, has currently - 72, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, was already of win league.

Guangzhou Evergrande is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Meizhou Hakka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of guest games.

Recently Meizhou Hakka have a series of home games.

In this match Meizhou Hakka is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Super League
05.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:0 ✺
01.09.22	Zhejiang Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTLL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
05.10.22	Meizhou Hakka - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
20.09.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Meizhou Hakka - Zhejiang Professional	0:0 ✺
10.09.22	Meizhou Hakka - Hebei CFFC	6:0 ✺
28.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Pro	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTWW

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