Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Hongkou Stadium (Shanghai)


	Shanghai Shenhua		Guangzhou City

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	7	Watch
	1.49	3.8	6.25
	1.5	3.9	6.1
	1.54	3.85	6
	1.56	3.83	6.67
	1.47	3.7	6.5
	1.48	4.1	6.65
	1.54	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.38)	3.85 ↓ (3.95)	6.4 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
61.3%

Draw
24.1%

Guangzhou City
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.7%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Shenhua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Shenhua will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 30, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 2.

Shanghai Shenhua is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangzhou City is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shanghai Shenhua to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Shanghai Shenhua won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Shenhua won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
09.10.22	Shenzhen - Shanghai Shenhua	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
29.09.22	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
20.09.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Zhejiang Professional - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWT
- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
08.10.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Guangzhou City - Shenzhen	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Shanghai Port - Guangzhou City	2:0 ✺
13.09.22	Guangzhou City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Guangzhou City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
24.09.20	Guangzhou City - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2
Chinese FA Cup
18.09.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	1:2 penalties
Chinese Super League
19.08.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	2:3
27.07.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	5:3
12.04.19	Guangzhou City - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1
30.09.18	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	3:1
05.05.18	Guangzhou City - Shanghai Shenhua	4:2

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