Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Referee: Wang D. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Changchun Yatai		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.95
	1.95	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.99	3.72	3.73
	2.32	3.08	3.19	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.01	3.64	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)	3.41 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
45.4%

Draw
27.1%

Meizhou Hakka
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.9%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 5. Li Shenyuan 6. Zhang Huachen 25. Cyprien W. 15. Xu Haofeng 10. Omoijuanfo O. 29. Tan Long (C) 27. Salazar J.	41. Guo Quanbo (G) 20. Wang Jia'nan 6. Liao Junjian (C) 11. Morris D. 31. Rao Weihui 4. Jocic B. 28. Zhong Haoran 16. Yang Chaosheng 10. Rodrigo Henrique 8. Ngom Mbekeli J. 22. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
40. Asqer A. 17. He Yiran 18. JIng Boxi 36. Liu Guobao 21. Piao Taoyu 30. Sun Qinhan 11. Tian Yuda 22. Wang Yu 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 20. Xuan Z. 24. Yan Zhiyu 37. Zhao Yingjie	15. Chen Xuhuang 27. Deng Yubiao 14. Ji Shengpan 26. Liu Yun 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 5. Tian Ziyi 3. Wei Minghe 21. Wei Xiangxin 33. Wen Z. 23. Yang Ruiqi 17. Yang Yihu 37. Yi Xianlong
Coaches
Soares R.	Qu G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽,
38', Omoijuanfo O. 🟨,
42', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yang Chaosheng ↓, Liu Yun ↑,
50', Ngom Mbekeli J. (Pen),
54', Ngom Mbekeli J. 🟨,
62', Zhang Huachen ↓, Zhao Yingjie ↑,
62', Rao Weihui ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
69', Cyprien W. ↓, Piao Taoyu ↑,
79', Zhong Haoran ↓, Chen Xuhuang ↑,
84', Wu Yake ↓, Wang Zhifeng ↑,
84', Salazar J. ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
84', Li Shenyuan ↓, He Yiran ↑,
90+12', Ngom Mbekeli J. ↓, Wei Xiangxin ↑,
90+16', Wang Zhifeng 🟨,
90+17', Zhao Yingjie 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1.

Changchun Yatai has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Meizhou Hakka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Meizhou Hakka: Yue Tze-Nam (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Meizhou Hakka: Ngom Mbekeli J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
09.08.25	Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Port	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
10.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Meizhou Hakka - Shanghai Port	2:4 ✺
27.07.25	Shandong Taishan - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Meizhou Hakka - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
11.04.25	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3
17.08.24	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	2:1
26.04.24	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	0:1
08.08.23	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	4:2
10.05.23	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	2:4
23.12.22	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:0
29.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0

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