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Current Win Probability
Changchun Yatai 63.5%
Draw 20.9%
Meizhou Hakka 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.2%
23.1%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
22.7%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.
Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Meizhou Hakka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 35. Jiang Zilei 4. Wang Weipu 27. Reiner C. 41. Wu Junjie 25. Chen Xuhuang 3. Du Kaile 6. Li Qiang 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 37. Zhou Dadi
1. Wang Zehao (G) 22. Liao J. 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. (C) 20. Wen Z. 25. Li Jiarun 24. Sakhi H. 15. Luo H. 32. Wen Q. 27. Zhang Enqi 45. Su Jiale
Substitutes
22. Benhaddouche C. 13. Dong Yifan (G) 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 18. Lu Pin 38. Sun Xipeng 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 8. Wu Zhicheng
31. Feng Gang 28. Li Weijia 12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 30. Wang H. (G) 6. Wang Haoran 16. Yang Chaosheng 17. Yang Yihu
Coaches
Yan Feng
Quim
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Tan Long ⚽, Zhou Dadi (A),
29', Li Qiang 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Zhou Dadi ⚽, Jiang Zilei (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sun Xiaobin ↓, Wang Haoran ↑,
65', Wang Weipu ↓, JIng Boxi ↑,
65', Du Kaile ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Li Jiarun ⚽, Sakhi H. (A),
73', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
77', Su Jiale ↓, Yang Chaosheng ↑,
77', Luo H. ↓, Feng Gang ↑,
77', Wen Q. ↓, Yang Yihu ↑,
81', Yang Chaosheng 🟨,
82', Yang Yihu 🟨,
84', Zhou Dadi ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
84', Jiang Zilei ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Sun Xipeng ⚽, Benhaddouche C. (A),
88', 4 - 1, Fan Chao ⚽, Tan Long (A),
90+1', Zhang Enqi ↓, Li Weijia ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 15th in the Relegation - League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 3.
In recent outings, Changchun Yatai has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Meizhou Hakka has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Changchun Yatai has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Meizhou Hakka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Changchun Yatai carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Changchun Yatai has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.4:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Changchun Yatai against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
China
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Wu Yake (G) 
Reiner C. 
Omoijuanfo O. 
Pellenard T. (C) 
Sakhi H. 
Benhaddouche C. 
Quim 
