The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha 21.5%
Draw 30.8%
Guangxi Hengchen 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
33%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
33%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha's form might have worsened.
Guangxi Hengchen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangxi Hengchen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Long Wenhao (G) 46. Luo Kai 47. Li Haoyu 43. Huang Yiwen 17. Li Zhuoxuan 3. Li Bin 33. Liu Jiqiang 52. Diao Jiahao 55. Huang Peizhao 58. Guo Wuyue 56. Ling Chuanbin
22. Shen Bokai (G) 32. Li S. 5. Luan H. 27. Zhang Zijian 3. Yuan X. 18. Wei Chaolun 8. Wang H. 7. Gao Yixuan 42. Ji Tianle 17. Zhang Huajun 11. Fei Ernanduo
Substitutes
23. Chen Jianlong 21. Chen Xing 42. Chen Yuhao 51. Fan Mengtong (G) 20. Fan Ruiwei 53. Gao Wenbo 5. Liang Junheng 60. Liang Yibin 9. Li Jiaheng 11. Ling Zheng 39. Tan Jiajun 50. Zhang Jianing
19. Cen Liyi 47. Chen D. 45. Dai Jiatong (G) 4. Fang Zhengyang 33. Feng Yifan 58. Huang Y. 16. Ning W. 25. Ren K. 29. Yao Zixuan
Coaches
Tan E.
Liu Junwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Huang Yiwen 🟨,
37', Luo Kai ↓, Chen Yuhao ↑,
37', Li Haoyu ↓, Liang Yibin ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Liang Yibin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Gao Yixuan ↓, Ren K. ↑,
52', Wei Chaolun 🟨,
54', Li Bin 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Yuan X. ⚽, Ji Tianle (A),
59', Wang H. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
59', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ning W. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Ning W. ⚽,
67', Huang Yiwen ↓, Ling Zheng ↑,
67', Li Zhuoxuan ↓, Chen Xing ↑,
72', Li S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Fei Ernanduo ⚽, Ning W. (A),
76', Ling Chuanbin ↓, Fan Ruiwei ↑,
82', Wei Chaolun ↓, Feng Yifan ↑,
85', Fei Ernanduo ↓, Huang Y. ↑,
87', Liang Yibin 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Guangzhou Dandelion have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Guangxi Hengchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
China
Watch
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Long Wenhao (G) 
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