Match Info

League Two - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Zengcheng Stadium (Guangzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.65	2.87
	2.75	2.80	2.50
	2.86	2.62	2.85
	2.6	2.64	3.08	Watch
	2.8	2.55	2.75
	2.45	2.92	3.13
	2.54	2.8	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
34.4%

Draw
33.5%

Lanzhou Longyuan
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

32.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Fan Mengtong (G) 16. Gao K. 5. Nihmat Nihat 20. Fan Ruiwei (C) 17. Li Zhuoxuan 3. Zhang Ran 48. Dilyar Alamas 19. Tian Xiangyu 26. Xu Hong 7. Chen Yuhao 10. Shohret R.	13. Mu Qianyu (C) 47. Yang Shengming 17. Erkin Ababekri 4. Xiao Yufeng 2. Luo H. 39. Chen Kerui 14. Zhang Zichao 10. Sun Xinkai 18. Memetimin Mewlan 7. Lu J. 19. Liu Xinyu
Substitutes
21. Bian Y. 1. Ci Henglong (G) 2. Diao Jiahao 18. Hu Yanbiao 6. Liang Junheng 47. Li Haoyu 9. Lu J. 8. Muhta M. 27. Murathan Ares 54. Nasirulla Hesenjan (G) 45. Tan L. 42. Zhang Hao	8. Abdukerim O. 42. Hu Yubo 22. Jiang W. 37. Ke Yuan 40. Lu Zhiyuan 30. Wang Lingke 16. Wang S. 33. Wei Lai 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 25. Zhang Yue
Coaches
Uemura K.	Zhang Xiaorui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Luo H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gao K. ↓, Diao Jiahao ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Sun Xinkai ⚽, Memetimin Mewlan (A),
56', Xiao Yufeng ↓, Wei Lai ↑,
56', Memetimin Mewlan ↓, Zhang Yue ↑,
56', Tian Xiangyu ↓, Muhta M. ↑,
62', Shohret R. ↓, Zhang Hao ↑,
62', Chen Yuhao ↓, Lu J. ↑,
65', Zhang Zichao 🟨,
73', Sun Xinkai ↓, Lu Zhiyuan ↑,
73', Liu Xinyu ↓, Wang S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Lu J. ⚽, Fan Ruiwei (A),
78', 1 - 2, Chen Kerui ⚽,
81', Chen Kerui ↓, Ke Yuan ↑,
85', Xu Hong ↓, Li Haoyu ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guangzhou Dandelion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou Dandelion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Guangzhou Dandelion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha
Chinese Yi League
23.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Xiamen Feilu - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTLT
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Beijing Guoan - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:1 ✺
Chinese Yi League
22.08.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shanghai Port B	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
18.10.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	1:0
14.09.25	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0

Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Lanzhou Longyuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide